India forecasts monsoon rains at 11-year low in 2026, fanning inflation risk
The forecast cut comes as a likely El Niño pattern threatens rainfall for hundreds of millions of farmers who depend on the June-September season.
- Earth Sciences Secretary M. Ravichandran announced Friday that India lowered the Monsoon forecast to 90% of the long-term average, revising the previous 92% estimate issued in April.
- The IMD warns of a 60% chance of 'deficient' rainfall as a likely El Niño weather pattern is expected to reduce precipitation across Northwest, central and southern India.
- Hundreds of millions of farmers in India depend on the June-September Monsoon season, which delivers the bulk of annual rainfall crucial for irrigation as the planting period begins.
- Lower-than-Normal rains may force farmers to rely more on diesel-powered irrigation pumps, lifting fuel demand as Crude oil prices surge due to supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
- The Monsoon reaches India's southern tip around June 1, moving northward to cover the entire subcontinent over the next four to six weeks, though the IMD expects delayed arrival in Kerala.
23 Articles
23 Articles
India May See 90% of Long Period Average Rainfall This Monsoon: IMD
While the Northeast is likely to witness normal rainfall this monsoon season, the remaining parts of the country may see below normal rainfall, forecast said
IMD revises monsoon rainfall forecast down to 90%
Revising its forecast for the southwest monsoon season, the India Meteorological Department on Friday said that the country is expected to receive rainfall at 90% of the long-period average.This figure is lower than the 92% projection made in its first long-range forecast issued in April. This is the first time in 11 years that a shortfall in rainfall has been predicted for the June to September period.The long period average is the measure of t…
Monsoon Tracker: IMD says India will see less than average rainfall even as it sounds heatwave alarm
The India Meteorological Department has revised its monsoon forecast, saying the country is likely to receive 90% of the long-period average rainfall this season. While Northeast India is expected to witness normal rainfall, most other regions may experience below-normal precipitation.
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- 40% of the sources are Center, 40% of the sources lean Right
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