US Edition
IMF edges 2025 growth forecast slightly higher, warns tariff risks still dog outlook
UNITED STATES, JUL 29 – The IMF raised its 2025 global growth forecast to 3% due to trade front-loading and tariff reductions but cautioned that tariff risks and geopolitical tensions could hinder future growth.
- This Tuesday, the IMF raised its US growth forecast to 1.9% this year and 2% in 2026, citing near-term benefits from tax cuts and trade factors.
- Amid a US-China tariff truce, the IMF warned that a rebound in effective tariff rates could lead to weaker growth and weigh on sentiment, with delayed reciprocal duties set for August 1.
- China received the largest upgrade with its 2025 growth forecast revised to 1.0%, and the euro area was updated to 1.0%.
- Despite the upward revisions, the IMF warned that tariffs and geopolitical risks could lead to difficult trade-offs for central banks and sustained uncertainty in recent months.
- This week, IMF suggests that global growth could be affected if tariffs reset, as risks remain despite recent upgrades, with the forecast for 2025 raised slightly.
88 Articles
88 Articles
IMF raises 2025 growth forecast and warns against global trade tensions
The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its global growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 slightly, citing stronger-than-expected purchases ahead of an August 1 jump in U.S. tariffs and a drop in the effective U.S. tariff rate from 24.4% to 17.3%. It warned, however, that the global economy faced major risks, including a potential rebound in tariff rates, geopolitical tensions, and larger fiscal deficits that could drive up interest rates …
IMF upgrades economic outlook and US consumer sentiment improves
A batch of new economic indicators was released Tuesday in addition to a new report from the International Monetary Fund about the global economic outlook.The report and fresh data shed new insight into the state of the U.S. and global economies.IMF releases global economic outlookThe International Monetary Fund projected global economic growth of 3% for 2025 in a new report released Tuesday.That projection is down from 3.3% in 2024, but it's an…
Trump trade policies less damaging than expected: IMF
President Trump’s trade policies are less damaging than expected, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgrading the projections of global economic growth for this year and 2026. The IMF, a Washington-based financial institution that works on facilitating international trade and sustained economic growth, projected a 3 percent global economic growth for 2025, 0.2 percentage points…
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its latest World Economic Outlook on the 29th. It projects the world economic growth rate for 2025 to be 3.0%, an upward revision of 0.2 percentage points from the previous forecast in April. This reflects the fact that the rate of increase in tariffs on major countries and regions by the Trump administration has been lower than in April. The world economic growth rate for 2026 is also expected to b…
The reason for the slightly better outlook than in April is also the fact that Trump has lowered the announced tariff rates in the meantime, but numerous risks and uncertainties remain.
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