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China’s Rare Earth Curbs Endanger $6.5 Trillion of Western Industry, IEA Says

The agency said stockpiling 11 high-risk materials would cost $9.2 billion upfront and $900 million a year.

  • On Thursday, the International Energy Agency warned that full implementation of China's rare-earth export restrictions could put $6.5 trillion of downstream production outside the country at risk.
  • Rare earths, a group of 17 metals essential for aircraft and weapons systems, emerged as a geopolitical flashpoint last year when Beijing imposed export controls that rattled global manufacturers.
  • Automotive production faces the largest direct exposure at more than $3 trillion outside China, while full graphite export controls could put about $300 billion of downstream production at risk.
  • The United States and Europe would face nearly half of the potential economic impact, prompting Western nations to intensify efforts building alternative, less concentrated supply chains.
  • IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said vast economic value depends on relatively small volumes of critical minerals, positioning diversified supply as 'economic insurance against major supply risks' amid geopolitical uncertainty.
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Financial Post broke the news in Toronto, Canada on Thursday, July 16, 2026.
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