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Global Oil Market Looks ‘Bloated’ Amid Lackluster Demand From Major Economies

The International Energy Agency forecasts a record surplus in 2026 as OPEC+ and non-OPEC supply grows while global oil demand slows to less than half 2023 growth, agency data shows.

  • The International Energy Agency raised its 2025 oil supply forecast after the OPEC+ group decided to increase production this year.
  • This adjustment follows a backdrop of slower global oil demand growth and lackluster consumption across major economies.
  • Data show that supply growth will reach 2.5 million barrels per day in 2025, while demand growth will slow to 680,000 barrels per day this year.
  • The IEA reported oil inventories will accumulate at 2.96 million barrels daily, exceeding the pandemic-era buildup, while prices have dropped roughly 12% to about $66 a barrel.
  • These trends suggest a growing risk of a record market surplus that may pressure prices and financial returns for producers, requiring supply-demand adjustments to restore balance.
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International Energy Agency warns of record oil supply surplus

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Newsweek broke the news in United States on Wednesday, August 13, 2025.
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