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Intel Earnings Might Prove the AI Boom Is Still Going Strong — Or About to Stall

Analysts say revenue, Data Center and AI sales, and gross margins will show whether Intel can sustain its AI-fueled stock rally.

  • Intel reports earnings today as investors weigh whether AI-driven CPU demand justifies the stock's 185.77% year-to-date surge. This pivotal report must confirm if the AI-CPU thesis holds after shares retreated 21.3% from recent highs.
  • CEO Lip-Bu Tan told analysts that "the CPU is reinserting itself as the indispensable foundation of the AI era," underpinning the company's pivot toward Data Center workloads. This shift reflects growing demand for CPUs powering AI agent infrastructure.
  • Analysts project revenue between $13.8B and $14.8B, though Cowen analysts flag adjusted gross margins near 38.8% remain pressured by heavy Foundry investments. Margins above 41% could validate operational leverage.
  • Prediction markets assign a 52% probability that Foundry revenue tops $6 billion, while management is "prudently planning for PC demand to weaken in the second half." Investors also monitor a potential Apple Foundry deal.
  • Should DCAI revenue clear $5.4 billion, it would support the Intel turnaround bull case and justify the recent valuation. However, if PC weakness bleeds into guidance, the pullback from June highs may signal a broader market reversal.
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Benzinga broke the news in Detroit, United States on Sunday, July 19, 2026.
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