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How some tax refunds are sent out to change this year

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act will deliver an average tax cut of $3,750 per filer and $100 billion in refunds to American households, aiming to boost economic growth.

  • On Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent unveiled a platform and said the Treasury projects $100 billion in additional refunds and average tax cuts of $3,750 per filer.
  • The One Big Beautiful Bill Act anchors the administration’s economic push by aiming to strengthen small businesses and let working families keep more of their pay.
  • Economic analysts point to mixed signals on spending and inflation as spending power from jumbo refunds, larger deductions and no taxes on tips is widely expected to push prices up, though Joseph Lavorgna said prices are unlikely to rise quickly.
  • Immediate effects could lift sentiment but complicate interest-rate plans, analysts say, warning the refunds could hinder Federal Reserve efforts and lower-income households might suffer if consumer prices rise.
  • Federal Reserve officials say inflation should fall closer to 2 percent over the coming year, while Kent Smetters projects refunds will nudge inflation by about zero in the second and third quarters.
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brc.cpa broke the news in on Tuesday, January 6, 2026.
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