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World Cup 2026 Third-Place Qualification: How Many Points Needed to Qualify for Round of 32?

Opta says a third-placed team has a 99.81% chance of advancing with four points, as Scotland chase a first trip to the round of 32.

Summary by Radio Times
The hunt is on for a place in the knock-out stages of World Cup 2026.For many teams, the excitement of the first round of group stage fixtures has given way to a steely determination as they look to punch their ticket for the round of 32.At this expanded tournament, the 12 group winners and 12 group runners-up will be joined in the knock-out stages by the eight best third-placed teams. Stay on top of the biggest World Cup ever and catch all the…

6 Articles

With a round of games already played at the 2026 World Cup, the supercomputer Opta Analyst, a world reference in statistics and a partner of the State, made a prediction of the score needed to advance to the world's mata mata. The system performed 100,000 simulations of the rest of the tournament. From them, it determined the probability of any score being sufficient for the classification. Read the details below.

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The Analyst broke the news on Thursday, June 18, 2026.
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