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Reform UK Opens up Five-Point Lead over Labour in Holyrood Race

Reform UK leads Scottish Labour by five points with 20% support in a YouGov poll of 1,113 Scots ahead of the May 2026 Holyrood elections.

  • YouGov's first 2026 Holyrood poll finds the Scottish National Party leading with 34% constituency and 29% list support, while Reform UK holds 20%, ahead of Scottish Labour on 15%.
  • Between January 8 and January 14, YouGov polled 1,113 people in Scotland to produce the voting-intention figures, giving a snapshot from earlier this month.
  • Analysis of party movements shows that since the 2024 general election, 21% of Labour backers became undecided, with 14% moving to Reform UK and 13% to the SNP, according to YouGov poll data.
  • Professor Sir John Curtice's projections give 60 SNP MSPs, 23 for Reform and 15 for Labour if the poll is repeated on election day, indicating a shifting political landscape.
  • With the election on May 7 approaching, the poll shows Reform UK’s 20% support, a significant rise from 0.2 in 2021, and the Scottish Greens jumping to 12%.
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Reform opens clear lead over Labour for second place in Holyrood vote – poll

YouGov’s latest survey puts Reform on 20% in the constituency vote, Labour on 15%, and the SNP well ahead on 34%.

·London, United Kingdom
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Rats and Storm: Thinking the vote in these elections “Just like the Pied Piper Led rats through the streets We dance like marionettes Swaying to the symphony” Megadeth, Symphony of destruction “Don’t betray yourself. I’m the storm that drags false tranquility. I’m the flame Arde once again.” Show-Ya, – Watashi wa hoghhi This campaign has been peculiar and momentous. There are a few days left to decide and a high percentage hasn’t yet done it. A…

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The NEN - North Edinburgh News broke the news in on Wednesday, January 28, 2026.
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