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Gulf recalibrates as Iran emerges intact from war

The 60-day ceasefire leaves Iran intact and pushes Gulf governments to rethink reliance on U.S. protection, sources say.

  • On Friday, the United States and Iran agreed to a 60-day cessation of hostilities via a Memorandum of Understanding, establishing a window to negotiate a permanent settlement over Iran's enriched uranium stockpile.
  • Former U.S. official Aaron David Miller called the February 28 'Epic Fury' campaign "an epic disaster," as Washington failed to achieve regime change or dismantle Iran's nuclear program, forcing a strategic shift to negotiation.
  • Gulf states are recalibrating security after eroding confidence in U.S. protection, with analyst Abdulaziz Sager of the Saudi-based Gulf Research Center stating Washington "caved in" by shifting from unconditional surrender demands to the MoU.
  • Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu raised concerns directly with President Donald Trump after Israel was caught off guard by the deal, which omits demands for dismantling Iran's enrichment capability and curbing missile programs.
  • Analysts warn the MoU is merely "a ticket to negotiation" rather than a lasting resolution, as fundamental disputes over sanctions, security guarantees, and control of the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved.
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24 Articles

ReutersReuters
+20 Reposted by 20 other sources
Center

Gulf recalibrates as Iran emerges intact from war

The U.S.-Iran deal may silence the guns, but it cannot alter the verdict of more than three months of war.

·New York, United States
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With the US-Iran deal, the Middle East may have overcome one of the most dangerous crises in recent decades for the time being, but the balance of power has generally remained unchanged, Iran has emerged politically strengthened, while the Gulf countries' trust in US protection has been deeply shaken, diplomats and experts say. International analysts point out that Iran remains a strong and undefeated power, capable of threatening the Arab Gulf …

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Al-Monitor broke the news in Washington, United States on Monday, June 15, 2026.
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