Why China and Russia Blinked as US Moved on Venezuela
China and Russia avoided military intervention in Venezuela due to geographic distance, high escalation risks, and strategic commitments elsewhere, revealing limits to their global power projection.
- Earlier this month, the United States military struck Caracas, resulting in the arrest and extradition of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid explosions near Fuerte Tiuna.
- Structural realism shows that geographic and alliance constraints meant China and Russia lacked permanent bases in the Western Hemisphere and faced other strategic commitments limiting intervention.
- Washington's logistical and intelligence edge meant Caracas is only hours from Florida, while Beijing and Moscow are oceans away, enabling a rapid strike operation.
- Diplomatic reactions replaced force, as both powers sought to condemn the US at the United Nations but mounted no military response, arguably damaging their credibility as security guarantors by allowing Maduro's arrest.
- Long-Term, the episode signals a pivot toward normative influence as China and Russia court Global South support, while middle powers accelerate hedging, exposing multipolar hard power limits.
12 Articles
12 Articles
Why China and Russia blinked as US moved on Venezuela
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On January 3, U.S. special forces raided Caracas, captured Maduro, and flew him to New York to face charges of drug trafficking and election fraud. President Trump announced the operation as a move to restore democracy after Maduro’s disputed rule. Wang Yi criticized it on January 5, urging respect for sovereignty, while China—Maduro’s key ally […] The post China Slams U.S. Capture of Maduro as Illegal Overreach of Power appeared first on THE DE…
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