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Gold Falls as Renewed U.S.-Iran Tensions Dampen Peace Hopes, Clouds Interest Rate Outlook

Spot gold fell 0.7% as higher oil prices and a 56% chance of a Federal Reserve hike pressured the outlook, UBS said.

  • Gold fell on Tuesday as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions near the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher, with Brent crude topping US$100 a barrel after slumping more than 7 per cent on Monday.
  • President Trump announced the United States would continue military operations in Iran over the coming weeks, dampening hopes for swift resolution to the Middle East conflict that erupted in late February.
  • Spot gold declined 0.7 per cent to US$4,540.14 an ounce in Singapore trading, while silver fell 2.4 per cent to US$76.21 as ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista cited sharpened inflationary fears and hawkish Federal Reserve expectations.
  • Markets are pricing a 56 per cent chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike by December, with traders awaiting U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures data Thursday; Ryan McKay, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, said trend followers are sellers of gold.
  • World Gold Council strategist John Reade expects better recovery chances toward year-end even if conflict ends now, as energy balance restoration takes time; UBS cut its year-end gold target by $400 to $5,500 due to persistent risks from higher yields.
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Gold prices fell during Asian trading on Tuesday following reports of new US military strikes against Iranian targets, prompting markets to reassess the risks of escalation in the region.

·Amman, Jordan
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Financial Post broke the news in Canada on Tuesday, May 26, 2026.
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