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Global Warming Beyond Five Degrees in 2100 Now "Unrobable", According to the Global Climate Research Programme

Summary by franceinfo.fr
"Climate policies have an effect, unfortunately not yet to reduce emissions but to influence them," explains Robert Vautard, co-president of Giec, Friday in franceinfo.

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"Climate policies have an effect, unfortunately not yet to reduce emissions but to influence them," explains Robert Vautard, co-president of Giec, Friday in franceinfo.

The United Nations climate panel (IPCC) is releasing its most extreme future scenario. This concerns the scenario in which the Earth would warm by 4 to 6 degrees by the year 2100. That scenario played a major role for years in research, policy, and lawsuits concerning climate change, reports de Volkskrant.

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The scenario that estimated a global warming of more than 5 degrees by 2100 is now considered "unrobable" by a new study, led by the Global Climate Research Programme (PMRC) and revealed this Friday by franceinfo.

The revision of some of the IPCC's climate scenarios revives the debate on the place of science, models and their political use. While warming remains a measurable reality, several very alarmist projections are now less plausible, posing the question of their influence on public policies.

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atlantico.fr broke the news on Friday, May 8, 2026.
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