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Global temperature rises to exceed 1.5 Celsius 'within a few years', UNEP says

The report says emissions must fall fast and carbon removal must scale up to keep overshoot brief and reduce irreversible climate damage.

  • On Wednesday, The United Nations Environment Programme issued a report titled Limiting Overshoot, warning that the world will breach the 1.5-degree climate threshold within the next few years and urging governments to accelerate emission cuts and carbon removal.
  • Earth is currently 1.4 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, while current policies project temperatures reaching 2.6 degrees by 2100; the United Nations report advises policymakers to prepare for and navigate a future that corrects course.
  • Climate scientist Andrew Weaver from the University of Victoria noted the 1.5 limit is not "some magical climate cliff," explaining that global temperatures will follow a hump-shaped path of more warming before cooling by century's end.
  • Pacific Island Students Fighting Climate Change director Vishal Prasad said, "We know what 1.5 , and what anything beyond it, means for our future, our families, our culture and our environment," warning of threats to island communities.
  • Secretary-General Antonio Guterres demanded an "overshoot of ambition," urging nations to accelerate the phase-out of fossil fuels; every five years of delay adds a tenth of a degree to peak warming, according to Imperial College London climate scientist Joeri Rogelj.
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According to a report by the United Nations Environment Programme (Pnuma), in the coming years the increase in global temperature will exceed 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. In the best possible scenario, the maximum increase in temperature will be 1.8 °C. Others suggest an increase of more than 2 °C. The increase will raise climate risks and impacts to increasingly dangerous levels. However, the report notes that it is still possible to red…

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Lean Left

According to the UN report, even in the most optimistic scenario, global warming will reach at least 1.8 °C, which significantly exceeds the Paris Agreement target of 1.5 °C. At the same time, scientists warn that every fraction of a temperature increase intensifies destructive extreme weather events, melting glaciers, loss of ecosystems and rising sea levels.

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Winnipeg Free Press broke the news in Winnipeg, Canada on Tuesday, September 1, 2026.
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