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Global fossil fuel emissions to hit record high in 2025, study says

Global fossil fuel CO2 emissions are expected to rise 1.1% to 38.1 billion metric tons in 2025, continuing a decade-long growth trend despite some countries reducing emissions.

  • On Nov 13, the Global Carbon Project reported fossil-fuel CO2 will reach 38.1 billion tonnes in 2025, up 1.1% from 2024, during COP30 UN climate talks in Belém, Brazil.
  • The GCP analysis says rising energy demand outpaces renewable deployment, with data centres and colder weather boosting heating in the United States and European Union.
  • The report also finds land-use CO2 fell to 4.1 billion tonnes, meaning total CO2 was about 42.2 billion tonnes in 2025 after El Niño aided sink recovery.
  • The authors calculate the remaining carbon budget of 170 billion tonnes equals roughly four years at 2025 emission rates, and Professor Pierre Friedlingstein warned `With CO2 emissions still increasing, keeping global warming below 1.5°C is no longer plausible`.
  • At COP30 in Belém, scientists urged faster action as some nations step back, saying immediate reductions are needed, with the report projecting a 170 billion tonne emissions budget remaining.
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The Global Carbon Project predicts that carbon dioxide emissions from coal, oil and gas this year will be 1.1% higher than 2024 by reaching 38.1 billion tons.

·Portugal
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Lean Right

Global CO2 emissions continued to rise in 2025. However, 35 countries have been able to reduce their emissions – with economic growth at the same time. Forest deforestation has decreased significantly, according to the report "Global Carbon Budget".

·Vienna, Austria
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Global CO2 emissions are rising to a new record level in 2025. Researchers therefore declare the 1.5-degree target unattainable. However, there are also encouraging signals: dozens of states demonstrate that climate protection and economic growth are compatible.

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ecoticias.com broke the news in on Wednesday, November 12, 2025.
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