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Global biofuel output to jump nearly 70% by 2030 due to Gulf energy crisis, study finds

The study warns higher blending mandates could more than double feedstock land use by 2030, raising risks for food security and deforestation.

  • On Tuesday, a study found that global biofuels output is expected to surge nearly 70% by 2030 as major countries raise blending mandates in response to the energy crisis triggered by the Iran war.
  • Crude oil prices have risen nearly 40% since the Iran war began in late February, while sugar and corn prices have gained about 20%, making biofuels more competitive with fossil fuels.
  • Meeting these mandates would require an additional 36 million hectares, an area roughly the size of Germany, according to London-based Chatham House and the Forest Stewardship Council co-authors.
  • "Production of feedstocks for first-generation biofuels tends to have net negative consequences," the authors said, warning that demand may outpace environmental safeguards and land-use planning implementation.
  • "Some policy responses may be trading off against increased food insecurity," they cautioned, noting that extreme weather could severely affect food prices amid rising demand.
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Global biofuel production is expected to increase by almost 70% by 2030 compared to the 2025 level, under conditions where large producers increase their blending requirements with conventional fuels in response to the crisis...

·Bucharest, Romania
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It expects to study the increase in the global production of biofuels by about 70% by 2030 with higher mixing rates after Iran's war, and cautions against greater pressures on food and forests and the need for an additional 36 million hectares equal to the entire area of Germany.

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CNN Brasil broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Tuesday, September 22, 2026.
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