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IW Forecasts 4.3 Million Drop in Germany's Working-Age Population by 2036
The IW institute said the decline will strain employers and pensions as 2025 population losses and weaker migration accelerate Germany’s aging trend.
Germany's population shrank in 2025, with 235,000 more people moving to the country than leaving but 352,000 more people dying than being born.
The population continued aging, with the 60-79 age bracket swelling by 358,000 people and the 20-59 primary tax-paying age bracket shrinking by 409,000 people.
The IW institute forecasts that by 2036, Germany's working-age population will drop by 4.3 million to 51 million due to subdued migration and the government's shift in migration policy.
There are now fewer people living in almost all of Germany's federal states than in the previous year. There are three exceptions. One of them is the capital.