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UN Says Global Fuel Subsidies Could Top $1 Trillion
UNDP says governments are nearing a breaking point as subsidies, price caps and relief measures strain budgets and could leave 130 million more in poverty.
A United Nations report released Friday warned that global fuel subsidies could exceed $1 trillion this year as governments struggle to shield consumers from energy price shocks linked to the Iran war.
Rising borrowing costs, the strongest El Niño on record, and the ongoing Iran war create a three-pronged crisis that strains governments' ability to sustain price caps and tax rebates.
Without relief measures, 130 million people could fall below the poverty line this year; higher energy prices already triggered protests in at least 10 countries including Syria, Guatemala, the Philippines, France and Portugal.
Governments are reaching a breaking point and seeking additional fiscal resources from the United Nations Development Programme to maintain subsidies and targeted cash transfers for vulnerable populations.
Combined shocks are projected to peak in early 2027, with UNDP's chief economist George Gray Molina noting the horizon remains uncertain: "we don't see a very clear pathway out of the three-pronged crisis.