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UN Says Global Fuel Subsidies Could Top $1 Trillion

UNDP says governments are nearing a breaking point as subsidies, price caps and relief measures strain budgets and could leave 130 million more in poverty.

  • A United Nations report released Friday warned that global fuel subsidies could exceed $1 trillion this year as governments struggle to shield consumers from energy price shocks linked to the Iran war.
  • Rising borrowing costs, the strongest El Niño on record, and the ongoing Iran war create a three-pronged crisis that strains governments' ability to sustain price caps and tax rebates.
  • Without relief measures, 130 million people could fall below the poverty line this year; higher energy prices already triggered protests in at least 10 countries including Syria, Guatemala, the Philippines, France and Portugal.
  • Governments are reaching a breaking point and seeking additional fiscal resources from the United Nations Development Programme to maintain subsidies and targeted cash transfers for vulnerable populations.
  • Combined shocks are projected to peak in early 2027, with UNDP's chief economist George Gray Molina noting the horizon remains uncertain: "we don't see a very clear pathway out of the three-pronged crisis.
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BizToc broke the news on Friday, October 2, 2026.
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