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Formation Chances Rise for Tropical Wave in Atlantic, Depression Likely to Develop, NHC Says

The National Hurricane Center reports a 70% chance of tropical depression formation from a wave in the eastern tropical Atlantic, moving west-northwest at 15 mph this week.

  • On Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center said a tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic has a 30% chance to develop in two days and a 70% chance in seven, likely forming a tropical depression this week or this weekend.
  • With the season running June 1 through November 30, 2025, environmental conditions in the tropical Atlantic appear conducive for gradual development during the mid‑August into October peak window.
  • Satellite and forecast models show the tropical wave just south of the Cabo Verde Islands producing disorganized showers and moving west‑northwest at 15 mph, with several models indicating nascent organization by Thursday.
  • Forecasters cautioned that if it develops, it would be the season's seventh tropical cyclone and could be Tropical Storm Gabrielle; Caribbean islands should continue monitoring despite no immediate threat to South Florida or Louisiana.
  • Long‑range computer forecast models are split on the tropical wave's path, with steering currents indicating it may reach the Caribbean islands in about a week; NOAA's seasonal outlook highlights a potential backloaded season this year.
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The National Hurricane Center in Miami reported a strong tropical wave located southwest of the Cape Verde Islands in the Atlantic has a 70 percent chance of development in the next seven days.

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abc 7 WJLA broke the news in Washington, United States on Tuesday, September 2, 2025.
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