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Forecasters Warns 2026 El Niño Could Shatter All Records
Forecasters say it could become the strongest on record, with NOAA giving a 4-in-5 chance of a very strong event by year-end.
- A potentially record-setting El Niño is strengthening in the Pacific Ocean, with current data confirming it will be a major driver of global weather in 2026/2027.
- During El Niño, trade winds weaken, pushing warm water east toward the Americas; University of Tartu climate science professor Piia Post explained this process releases energy that raises global temperatures.
- Ocean temperatures are running about half a degree warmer than the 1997 and 2015 events at the same stage, while the Niño 3.4 region could reach temperatures up to 3.6 degrees above normal.
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 's Climate Prediction Center meteorologist Johnna Infanti predicts above-normal precipitation across the Southern U.S. during fall and winter, increasing flood risks in the Gulf States and Southeast to Mid-Atlantic.
- Peak intensity is likely to arrive in late fall or early winter, as NOAA estimates a 97 percent chance the event will persist into early spring 2027 with an 81 percent probability of becoming very strong.
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50 Articles
Coverage Details
Total News Sources50
Leaning Left9Leaning Right6Center12Last UpdatedBias Distribution45% Center
Bias Distribution
- 45% of the sources are Center
45% Center
L 33%
C 45%
R 22%
Factuality
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