There are few things more inherently dangerous than amplifying the already unearned confidence of a novice hobbyist who is pretty sure they’ve “got this whole thing figured out.” The Dunning–Kruger effect–the erroneous assumption that newcomers to an activity have that they’re pretty much experts at it–is already a potent thing, and a source of potential hazard when the activity in question can risk life and limb, such as wilderness hiking or mo…