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Food inflation may not reach worst-case scenario but will last longer – industry

The Institute of Grocery Distribution said households with children may need £203 more this year as price pressure is expected to last into 2028.

  • The Institute of Grocery Distribution forecasts food inflation to peak in the second half of this year, averaging 3.7% to 4.7% across the 12 months.
  • IGD chief economist James Walton said geopolitical conflict impact filters through slowly, causing inflation to peak at 5.5% despite the recent peace deal involving Iran.
  • Households with children will need to find around £203 extra for food and drink this year, and another £207 next year, according to latest predictions.
  • The IGD's Shopper Confidence Index remained "subdued" at minus two in May, with 94% of consumers worried about food prices and 86% concerned about energy bills.
  • Retail food costs have risen more than 40% on pre-Covid levels, and sustained upward price pressure is expected to continue into 2028, according to the Institute.
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12 Articles

Leicester MercuryLeicester Mercury
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Wales OnlineWales Online
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£207 warning for anyone who buys food as rises to last into 2028

Economists say ' there is little room for relief'

·Leicester, United Kingdom
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Evening StandardEvening Standard
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
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Food inflation may not reach worst-case scenario but will last longer – industry

Latest predictions suggest households with children would need to find an extra £203 for food and drink this year, and another £207 next year.

·London, United Kingdom
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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, June 16, 2026.
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