First prediction of damage from Nankai Trough half-break, with up to 103,000 deaths; advance evacuation could drastically reduce subsequent damage

The new damage estimates for the Nankai Trough earthquake published on the 31st by the government's Central Disaster Prevention Council's expert committee also estimated for the first time a "half break" that would occur in the east and west of the Kii Peninsula, in addition to a "full break" in which the entire expected epicenter shifted. Nankai Trough earthquakes have diverse epicenters, and in the past...