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Finland’s Stubb tells German newspaper Russia unlikely to risk attack on NATO

Stubb said Russia lacks the strength for a direct NATO war, while Western officials warn hybrid attacks and cyber threats could still escalate.

  • On Saturday, Finland's President Alexander Stubb told Germany's Bild newspaper he does not believe Russia would risk attacking a NATO country, calling it illogical to "test the resolve of this alliance."
  • German officials have assessed Russia could attack a NATO country by 2029, but Stubb rejected this, stating, "If anyone has a crystal ball like that — I simply see neither evidence nor facts to support it."
  • Russia is currently taking unsustainable losses in Ukraine, losing around 30,000 troops monthly while recruiting only around 27,000. Stubb said, "So they have fewer and fewer soldiers in an increasingly complex situation."
  • Ukraine is now stronger than at any point in the war, and Stubb emphasized it remains essential security leverage, stating, "We must understand—you in Germany and we in Finland—that Ukraine is the best security guarantee we have against Russia."
  • Despite Western warnings of Russian hybrid operations and cyber attacks, Stubb maintained NATO's conventional, missile, and nuclear strength make direct attack illogical, citing intelligence information backing his assessment.
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The ability of the Russian population to withstand economic pressure should not be underestimated, said President Alexander Stubb of Finland. Stubb, in an interview with Bild, expressed confidence that economic pressure would not force Russia to abandon its objectives. "Never underestimate what economic difficulties the Russians can withstand," he said. As WZGLAD wrote, in mid-August, Stubb called on European countries to re-establish diplomatic…

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The Federal Government is probably planning a package of measures against Russia+++ Kremlin: No prospect of better relations with the EU +++ Kiev: Russia expands deployment of beam-driven drones +++ The newsblog.

·Düsseldorf, Germany
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Finnish President Alexander Stubb ruled out the possibility of Russia attacking any NATO member state, while stressing the need for NATO to remain ready to face various possible scenarios.

·Syrian Arab Republic (the)
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In Russia, Europe must prepare for the worst, Finland's President explains. However, it is unlikely that an attack on NATO or a nuclear weapon deployment in Ukraine will occur. Stubb expects another escalation.

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Bild broke the news in Berlin, Germany on Saturday, August 29, 2026.
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