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Could the War in Iran Have an Impact on Grocery Prices? What We Know

Farmers faced 60% fertilizer price hikes in 2021-22 while major companies reported record profits amid alleged collusion and shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.

  • This past week, Union Line Farms, Inc., a Hopkinton, Iowa farm, filed a class-action alleging major fertilizer companies conspired to raise prices since early 2021, DiCello Levitt said.
  • The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly a quarter of global oil exports, and Iran has recently attacked ships, disrupting tanker movement amid about 35% of global urea exports transiting the corridor.
  • On March 12, CF Industries' shares surged from $99 on Feb. 27 to $137 before easing to $122 Monday; Nutrien jumped from $102 to over $114 then fell to $106, while industry groups urged Mosaic and J.R. Simplot to support removing Moroccan phosphate duties.
  • Bloomberg reported the U.S. Department of Justice Antitrust Division is probing whether fertilizer companies colluded to raise prices, as Hawley wrote to fertilizer CEOs and AG Pam Bondi.
  • Analysts warn the ongoing conflict could soon lift grocery bills, as the Center for Strategic and International Studies says impact depends on disruption length, affecting U.S. farmers and consumers and corn and other nitrogen-hungry crops.
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Could the war in Iran have an impact on grocery prices? What we know

Rising oil and fertilizer costs tied to the Iran conflict could push up grocery prices in the U.S. if shipping disruptions continue. (AP Photo)

·Portland, United States
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A federal lawsuit and pressure from farmers on fertilizer producers over supply disruptions caused by the war in Iran and the blockade of the Sea of Hormuz...

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dtnpf.com broke the news in on Monday, March 16, 2026.
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