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Fertility rate for England and Wales falls to new record low

The total fertility rate dropped to 1.41 children per woman in 2024, below the replacement rate of 2.1, despite slight increases in London and West Midlands, says ONS.

  • The average number of children born per woman in England and Wales dropped to 1.41 last year, marking the lowest recorded level since 1938.
  • This decline follows a consistent fall in birth rates since 2010, with the 2024 rate dropping from 1.42 in 2023 amid a slight overall birth increase.
  • Fertility rates varied regionally, with the West Midlands highest at 1.59 and south-west England lowest at 1.31, while Luton had the highest local rate of 2.00.
  • Just over a third of babies were born to mothers born outside the UK, especially in Luton where seven in 10 babies had foreign-born mothers, offsetting births decline among UK-born mothers.
  • The continued low fertility rate, below the replacement level of 2.1, implies a rising economic burden on working-age people due to a growing retired population and dependence on immigration for population growth.
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Evening StandardEvening Standard
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Fertility rate for England and Wales falls to new record low

For a country’s population to remain stable, discounting any impact from migration, the total fertility rate needs to be around 2.1.

·London, United Kingdom
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GB News broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Wednesday, August 27, 2025.
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