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Fed expected to keep rates unchanged as Chair Powell pivots back to economics

  • On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will face markets as the Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates after three quarter-point cuts last year, with CME's FedWatch futures pricing a 96% chance of a hold at 3.5%-3.75%.
  • Earlier this month, the U.S. Department of Justice subpoenaed the Fed in a probe tied to Powell's testimony about a $2.5 billion building renovation, and Powell said Jan. 11 the subpoenas were `pretexts` to punish the Fed.
  • President Trump recently told aides to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds and issued an executive order limiting large institutional investors, which could front-load demand and boost housing inflation, though Allianz Investment Management said the impact may be limited.
  • A hawkish pause would flag lingering inflation risks, denting rate-cut bets and pressuring risk assets lower, potentially lifting the U.S. dollar against low-yield currencies.
  • Stephen Miran, Trump's Fed appointee, is expected to dissent for a 50-basis-point cut, and many economists expect growth could pick up in the coming months, reducing calls for easing.
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Washington and Madrid. Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell said Wednesday that the case before the Supreme Court about Donald Trump’s attempt to remove a governor from the central bank could be the most important legal challenge facing the institution. “I would say that case is perhaps the most important in the Fed’s 113-year history,” Powell said on Wednesday, answering a question about why he attended the January 21 hearing around Trump’s …

The U.S. Federal Reserve Chief had opposed the investigation of the Department of Justice to an unusual degree. Now Powell decides once again on the interest rate.

·Munich, Germany
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TokenPost broke the news in on Sunday, January 25, 2026.
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