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Stocks Wobble After a Surprisingly Strong Jobs Report Raises Prospects of an Interest Rate Hike
Markets now see a 52.6% chance of a Federal Reserve increase after nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said.
On Friday, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls surged by 162,000 jobs in August, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, signaling labor market resilience.
Private companies added just 38,000 jobs last month, falling short of analyst expectations of 47,000, according to the ADP report released earlier this week, marking the slowest pace since January.
Wage growth remained steady at 3.1% compared to a year earlier, while the number of people unemployed for 27 weeks or more increased by 159,000, revealing mixed employment signals.
Market expectations for a Federal Reserve quarter-point rate hike in two weeks rose to 59% following the report, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, up from 52% earlier.
Josh Stevens, Chief Investment Officer at Cresalta Investment Management, said the Fed's focus will shift to inflation data next week, which remains the primary driver of near-term policy decisions.
If employment goes well, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will focus on the fight against inflation, which is high, so the prospect of rising interest rates is approaching.