Predicting This Year’s Oscar Winners Using Just Math

Predicting This Year’s Oscar Winners Using Just Math

Oscars category-by-category predictions of all Academy Awards-nominated movies. Who will win 2026 Oscars, by Ben Zauzmer's math model.

Schaffrillas Productions — My 2026 Oscar Picks and Predictions

Schaff becomes an enemy of the Hamnet state.

My Final Oscar Predictions: Part 1

FINAL COUNTDOWN From left: KPop Demon Hunters, Sinners and Frankenstein. (Netflix/Warner Bros.. Pictures)ShareSubscribe nowI usually have a hard time agreeing with people who think Oscar season goes on too long — my colleagues Christopher Rosen and Richard Rushfield included. It’s great to have more time to watch movies and encourage others to see them, and as exhausting as the endless interviews can be, sometimes they bring us priceless gems, l…

FINAL 2026 Oscar Predictions: CINEMATOGRAPHY

With American Society of Cinematographers (ASC), BAFTA and British Society of Cinematographers (BSC), Michael Bauman has the goods to win the Oscar for One Battle After Another. While Autumn Durald Arkapaw (Sinners) made Oscar history as the first woman of color nominated for Best Cinematography, and earned the most overall critics wins for her work…

Fearless Oscar Predictions 2026

Who ya got: “Sinners” and its record-setting 16 nominations or “One Battle After Another” and 13 nods? There are other deserving nominees, to be sure, but these two films have dominated the movie year 2025 and much of Awards Season 2026. There is no reason to think it won’t continue come Oscar night. Which is better? Wow. What day is it? Let’s just say we have extra love for the split in the Best Screenplay category this year, where they both ca…