Experts update Sabres vs. Canadiens Game 6 predictions with Buffalo making another goalie change
Dimers’ 10,000 simulations give Montreal a 57% chance to win, while Buffalo weighs another goalie change after a Game 5 loss.
- On Saturday, May 16, 2026, the Montreal Canadiens host the Buffalo Sabres at the Bell Centre for Game 6, leading the NHL Eastern Conference semifinal 3-2 and one win away from advancing.
- After benching Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen during Thursday's 6-3 loss when he surrendered five goals in two periods, Sabres coach Lindy Ruff is expected to turn to Alex Lyon with the season on the line.
- Dimers analytics experts performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's matchup, projecting a 57% chance the Canadiens win, while Kalshi prediction markets show 59% moneyline odds and 39% for Montreal to win by 2 or more goals.
- Victory would propel the Canadiens into the Eastern Conference final against the Carolina Hurricanes, who already swept the Philadelphia Flyers in the second round.
- Rookie Ivan Demidov scored his first career playoff goal Thursday to help Montreal secure the 6-3 win, as captain Nick Suzuki and defenceman Lane Hutson each have 12 points in these playoffs, while Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 11.
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The Canadian had done everything but win in the sixth game of his series against Lightning, eventually returning to Tampa to win.
Canadiens can advance to Eastern Conference final with win over Sabres tonight
MONTREAL — The Montreal Canadiens can advance to the NHL's Eastern Conference final tonight with a win over the Buffalo Sabres. Montreal holds a 3-2 lead in the best-of-seven conference semifinal.
Experts update Sabres vs. Canadiens Game 6 predictions with Buffalo making another goalie change
After losing Game 5 at home on Thursday, the Buffalo Sabres find themselves in a perilous situation. They are heading to Montreal one loss away from their season coming to an end. The Canadiens will try to eliminate Buffalo on Saturday night in Game 6.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 75% of the sources lean Left
Factuality
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