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War threatens Russian banking crisis, European intelligence report says

The report says 10% of corporate loans are doubtful and more than 500,000 Russians declared bankruptcy in 2025.

  • A European state intelligence report seen by Reuters warns Russia faces an "explosive" banking crisis as lenders bear the war economy's burden, just as the European Union readies a 21st sanctions package.
  • Russia has increasingly relied on banks to support defense firms and homebuyers as the four-year war drains state coffers, lumbering institutions with risks that state-backed credit programs and loan restructurings now mask.
  • Data shows 10% of corporate loans are doubtful, retail non-performing loan ratios reached 15% in 2025, and more than 500,000 Russians declared bankruptcy last year, up almost a third from 2024.
  • Deputy Governor Filipp Gabunia of the Russian central bank dismissed these risks last month, stating "vulnerabilities in the financial sector are not critical" and noting the capital cushion stands at a three-year high.
  • Repeated infrastructure attacks complicate fuel distribution in vital economic regions as war casualties sustained by Russia surpass 1.4 million, even as Russian President Vladimir Putin pursues battlefield aims.
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The Russian banking system may face an "explosive" crisis, reported by Reuters with reference to a closed intelligence report from a European country, which was prepared in June for European officials in anticipation of the discussion of the EU 21st package of sanctions.

·Vilnius, Lithuania
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The Russian economy, which has weathered Western sanctions following the war in Ukraine, is facing a new risk of "financial sector instability." Although it showed stronger-than-expected resilience due to massive defense spending and government support, analysts suggest that as the war drags on, the financial burden is shifting to the banking sector, increasing potential risks to the financial system. On the 6th (local time), Reuters reported, c…

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IBTimes broke the news in New York, United States on Monday, July 6, 2026.
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