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Euro zone inflation falls more than expected, adding to ECB case for patience

Core inflation also eased to 2.4%, strengthening the case for the European Central Bank to hold rates steady at its July meeting.

  • Overall inflation in the 21 nations sharing the Euro currency slowed to 2.8% in June from 3.2% in May, falling well below expectations of 3.0%.
  • The unexpected easing curbs immediate pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again this month, giving policymakers time to assess evolving price pressures.
  • Underlying prices excluding volatile food and fuel slowed to 2.4% from 2.6%, while services inflation dropped to 3.2% from 3.5%, though both remain above the ECB's 2% target.
  • Policymakers indicate no rush to follow June's quarter-point rate hike with another move this month, though most economists expect the ECB to resume increases in September or October.
  • Fertilizer shortages from the Middle East and a European heatwave could limit crop yields and lift food prices, while energy costs remain volatile due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
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41 Articles

Lean Right

This is good news for the ECB and can condition future decisions to raise interest rates. Inflation in the euro area fell in June from 3.2% to 2.8%.

·Portugal
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Lean Left

In Sintra, Portugal, the major central bankers found that inflation in the euro area had declined faster than expected, following the agreement between Iran and the United States. The price rise was 2.8% in June, compared with 3.2% in May.

·Paris, France
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Center

Inflation in the euro area has weakened.

·Germany
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Center

The slowdown in Iran's conflict dampens inflation: consumer prices in the euro area rose by 2.8 percent in June compared to the previous year. This puts pressure on the ECB to increase interest rates rapidly.

·Hamburg, Germany
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  • 41% of the sources lean Right
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E24 broke the news in Oslo, Norway on Wednesday, July 1, 2026.
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