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Tesla's China Footprint Complicates Path to Possible SpaceX Merger

Analysts say a China separation could reduce regulatory scrutiny, as SpaceX drew about a fifth of its 2025 revenue from U.S. federal agencies.

  • Tesla's China business complicates a potential merger between Elon Musk's automaker and SpaceX because the space firm's reliance on federal agencies invites intense national security scrutiny. Musk may face questions during SpaceX's earnings call on Tuesday.
  • The Wall Street Journal reported last week that Tesla executives were told to prepare for separating the China business; however, Musk denied the report, stating such a separation had "never even come up in a discussion."
  • Automotive Ventures founder Steve Greenfield said Tesla might split from China because it is not central to Musk's long-term vision of robotics and autonomous driving. "If their ultimate goal is to be acquired by SpaceX and, within five or 10 years, move from vehicles to humanoid robotics," Tesla may prioritize that.
  • A standalone Chinese entity would need buy-in from the Chinese Communist Party, who are "more than likely to require" board seats, analysts say. Investor Shawn Campbell warned, "I would immediately sell any Chinese shares in the event of a spinoff."
  • Brian Mulberry of Zacks Investment Management said cleaving off China could "clear the way for a cleaner merger domestically." Yet others question where Tesla would manufacture vehicles without the Shanghai Gigafactory, which historically accounts for more than half of global deliveries.
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ReutersReuters
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Center

Tesla's China footprint complicates path to possible SpaceX merger

Tesla's electric vehicle business in China looms as a key hurdle to a potential merger between Elon Musk's automaker and SpaceX because of complications it could pose ​for the space firm's business with the U.S. government.

·London, United Kingdom
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Tesla is considering selling or spinning off its China business to pave the way for a possible future merger with SpaceX. According to The Wall Street Journal, Elon Musk's company has been preparing for such a scenario for several years, and some of the management has now been instructed to analyze options for separating the Chinese part of the business from the rest of the group.

Tesla is considering spinning off and selling its China business to pave the way for a potential merger with space technology company SpaceX, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing sources familiar with the talks. If confirmed, it would be one of the largest deals in the auto industry. The Shanghai factory produces more than half of all Tesla […]

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Numerama broke the news on Friday, July 31, 2026.
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