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Elections beat polls as indicators

Summary by Noel Turnbull
Opinion polling may be very useful for making political predictions but there is one thing which is even better – elections – as one recent US one illustrates. On August 26 an election in Iowa’s 1st Senate district – a seat Trump won by 11% in 2024 – the Democrat candidate Catelin Drey defeated Republican … Continue reading Elections beat polls as indicators →
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Noel TurnbullNoel Turnbull

Elections beat polls as indicators

Opinion polling may be very useful for making political predictions but there is one thing which is even better – elections – as one recent US one illustrates. On August 26 an election in Iowa’s 1st Senate district – a seat Trump won by 11% in 2024 – the Democrat candidate Catelin Drey defeated Republican … Continue reading Elections beat polls as indicators →

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Noel Turnbull broke the news in on Friday, September 5, 2025.
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