El Nino powers up as forecasters predict historic strength and a rainier winter for the US South
Forecasters say the event could rank among the largest since 1950 and may suppress Atlantic storms while raising winter rain risks in the southern United States.
- On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Centre reported that El Niño will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years, with an 81% chance of becoming a very strong event by October-December.
- Sea surface temperatures have spread 1.2°C above average across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, with the agency ranking the phenomenon among the largest events in the historical record going back to 1950.
- El Niño strengthens wind shear in the Caribbean, disrupting developing tropical storms during the six-month season that began June 1, prompting AccuWeather to reduce its Atlantic named-storm forecast to 8 to 14.
- Elsewhere, El Niño typically brings cooler, wetter winters to southern regions while increasing the risk of drought and wildfires in Australia, offering seasonal insight into weather extremes globally.
- There is a 97% chance El Niño will persist through early spring 2027, with only a 3% chance the Pacific will return to normal, signaling prolonged global weather volatility.
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The powerful El Niño climate phenomenon is gaining strength - more heat, floods and droughts are expected worldwideThe El Niño climate phenomenon will continue to strengthen until the end of 2026. There is an 81% probability of the formation of a very powerful El Niño in October-December.
You should be terrified by the newest super El Niño forecast. Here’s what’s at stake
Brace for a stretch of potentially wet and wild weather. Forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center issued an advisory on Thursday stating that the current El Niño event could prove to be one of the strongest in recent history. The new forecast says that the current El Niño “has strengthened over the past month,” and as a result, it is expected to “intensify through 2026” and is likely to “cont…
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