El Nino powers up as forecasters predict historic strength and a rainier winter for the US South
NOAA says the current event has an 81% chance of becoming very strong and could reduce Atlantic hurricane activity this season.
- On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Centre reported that El Niño will likely be one of the strongest in more than 75 years, with an 81% chance of becoming a very strong event by October-December.
- Sea surface temperatures have spread 1.2°C above average across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, with the agency ranking the phenomenon among the largest events in the historical record going back to 1950.
- El Niño strengthens wind shear in the Caribbean, disrupting developing tropical storms during the six-month season that began June 1, prompting AccuWeather to reduce its Atlantic named-storm forecast to 8 to 14.
- Elsewhere, El Niño typically brings cooler, wetter winters to southern regions while increasing the risk of drought and wildfires in Australia, offering seasonal insight into weather extremes globally.
- There is a 97% chance El Niño will persist through early spring 2027, with only a 3% chance the Pacific will return to normal, signaling prolonged global weather volatility.
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Super El Nino intensifying.....effects on Pacific NW Weather.
El Niño Likely Strongest in 75 Years, US Forecasters Say
El Nino is strengthening: Here's what it means for the US
Typical El Nino Impacts. (ABC News) (NEW YORK) — El Nino conditions continue to intensify and are likely to be a strong event in the coming months, significantly influencing our weather, the hurricane season and global temperatures, according to the latest forecast from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). There is very high confidence that El Nino will continue through early spring 2027. NOAA’s latest forecast calls for a…
Strengthening El Nino likely to ‘rank among largest’ on record: U.S. agency
In its latest update, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center (CPC) said there is an 81 percent chance of a “very strong” El Nino between October-December that would rank among the largest such events in the historic record going back to 1950.
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