El Niño is here, so what does it mean?
NOAA says a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño could push global temperatures to a new record and worsen drought and heat waves.
- El Niño has arrived, raising alarm about potential global heat records this year as the climate pattern alters Pacific Ocean temperatures and brings significant weather shifts through the winter.
- Under normal conditions, trade winds move warm water from South America toward Asia, allowing cold water upwelling; El Niño breaks this cycle, weakening upwelling and releasing stored heat from the deeper ocean.
- According to NOAA, "There is a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950." This follows 2023 and 2024, when patterns shattered global temperature records on Earth.
- Meteorologist Nat Johnson notes that while impacts begin in the tropics, global jet streams transfer the influence to mid-latitudes and higher latitudes. Enhanced drought conditions are affecting regions from Indonesia to the northern Amazon.
- Climate scientist Daniel Swain warns this could be a significant event in 2026 and lingering into 2027. Combined with human-caused global warming, the event enhances the probability that Earth will see new record global mean temperatures.
13 Articles
13 Articles
Chatham Daily News
Wallaceburg Courier PressFood for Thought: El Niño and La Niña impact weather differently
Every so many years, we hear news about El Niño and La Niña and how these systems affect weather in North America, even here in Southwestern Ontario.
El Niño is here, so what does it mean?
This summer was already predicted to be hot for much of the planet, after a near-record year of global heat last year. But El Niño — the influential weather pattern associated with heat, unlike the cooler La Niña — has arrived, and it’s raising more alarm.“If we have a big El Niño on top of the long-term warming trend, that just really enhances the probability that we’ll see a new record global mean temperature,” says meteorologist Nat Johnson o…
The whole planet holds its breath in the face of an episode that looks particularly intense. Unless climate models are wrong (which remains unlikely), El Niño risks making us live a hell until autumn.
World's top robusta supplier faces its strongest El Niño in 70 years - VnExpress International
El Niño has officially formed in the Pacific, and forecasters give it a 60-65% chance of turning very strong, putting Vietnam's Central Highlands coffee belt at risk of severe drought into 2027. - VnExpress International
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