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The Odds for a September Fed Rate Hike Plunged to 25%. Here's Why the Betting Markets Might Be Wrong

Markets cut the chance of a September rate hike to 34% as July inflation cooled, while core PCE stayed above the Fed's 2% target.

Summary by 24/7 Wall St.
Betting markets just slashed the odds of a September Fed rate hike to 25%, and investors are exhaling. But three more inflation reports stand between now and that meeting, and the numbers already in hand tell a very different story.

4 Articles

More and less experts expect the Fed to raise interest rates in September. The data support its current price, but a change has not yet taken place.

·Düsseldorf, Germany
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The outlook for monetary tightening in September is moving away from the United States. The latest data on inflation and consumption have reassured the markets and reduced expectations of an increase in the Federal Reserve rates. This scenario change offers a respite to risky assets, including cryptos. However, caution remains to be exercised, as US debt and geopolitical tensions could still affect the Fed's future decisions and the trajectory o…

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The Motley Fool broke the news in Alexandria, United States on Friday, August 14, 2026.
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