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Florida Could See Tropical Development by Holiday Weekend. Here’s the Setup

  • The National Hurricane Center warns a low-pressure area near the Gulf or Southeast U.S. coast could develop into a storm by the Fourth of July weekend, bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms.
  • A stalled frontal boundary near Florida’s peninsula is creating low-pressure potential, setting the stage for possible development by the holiday weekend, as forecasters note.
  • Forecast models indicate a 20% chance of tropical development over seven days, with rain probabilities of 50-80% and coastal areas potentially receiving 4-6 inches of rain.
  • Forecasters warn heavy rain and flooding in Florida could disrupt Fourth of July plans, prompting residents and visitors to monitor forecasts closely.
  • Beyond the immediate forecast, NOAA and CSU project an above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season with widespread rainfall and localized flooding across Florida, urging preparedness.
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WPBF broke the news in on Monday, June 30, 2025.
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