Florida Could See Tropical Development by Holiday Weekend. Here’s the Setup
- The National Hurricane Center warns a low-pressure area near the Gulf or Southeast U.S. coast could develop into a storm by the Fourth of July weekend, bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms.
- A stalled frontal boundary near Florida’s peninsula is creating low-pressure potential, setting the stage for possible development by the holiday weekend, as forecasters note.
- Forecast models indicate a 20% chance of tropical development over seven days, with rain probabilities of 50-80% and coastal areas potentially receiving 4-6 inches of rain.
- Forecasters warn heavy rain and flooding in Florida could disrupt Fourth of July plans, prompting residents and visitors to monitor forecasts closely.
- Beyond the immediate forecast, NOAA and CSU project an above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season with widespread rainfall and localized flooding across Florida, urging preparedness.
15 Articles
15 Articles


Hurricane center increases chance system could develop off Florida coast
The National Hurricane Center on Thursday upped its prediction a system could form off the coast of Florida and develop into the season's next tropical depression or storm.
Tropical Disturbance Could Form Over FL By July 4 Weekend
Tropical Disturbance Could Form Over FL By July 4 Weekend - Sarasota, FL - A front that could stall over FL and the Gulf has a low chance of tropical development over the July 4th holiday weekend, forecasters said.
Monitoring the northern Gulf and Southeast US for the Fourth of July weekend
A stalled front across Florida’s peninsula later this week could spawn a tropical system over the northeastern Gulf or off the Southeast U.S. by the Fourth of July weekend.Leer en españolFor now the National Hurricane Center is keeping development odds low, but given the warmth of the waters in the region and the tendency for old frontal zones to pinch off tropical systems this time of year, it wouldn’t be surprising if development odds come up …
Fourth Of July Fizzle? Florida Braces For Soggy Holiday Weekend
Sunshine State Set for Showers as Low-Pressure System Looms The highly anticipated Fourth of July weekend in Florida might be more about fireworks of the meteorological kind than the celebratory variety. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is eyeing an area of low pressure that could develop over the state, bringing with it a significant chance […] Fourth Of July Fizzle? Florida Braces For Soggy Holiday Weekend
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