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Le Pen, Melenchon head for run-off as France's political divide deepens, poll shows

Le Pen is seen at 35% to 37% in the first round, while Mélenchon reaches a run-off in all five poll scenarios, Toluna Harris Interactive said.

  • On Monday, a new poll from Toluna Harris Interactive showed Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melenchon widening their lead, projecting a run-off between the two in all tested scenarios.
  • As President Emmanuel Macron's second and final term concludes, the unpopularity of the president and a weak economy have created a political opening for hardline parties, including National Rally and France Unbowed.
  • In surveys conducted between Oct 5 and Oct 8, Pen would top the first-round vote with between 35% and 37%, while Melenchon reaches a run-off in all five scenarios polled.
  • Melenchon previously ran for president in 2012, 2017 and 2022 without reaching the second round, unlike Pen, who made it to the run-off in 2017 and 2022 but lost.
  • Campaigning for the 2027 election, Marine presented the party's alternative budget and fiscal strategy in Paris, France, positioning National Rally for the presidential race.
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Follow live the latest information about the presidential election of this Monday, October 12th on LaDépêche.fr.

The right-wing extreme leader, Marine Le Pen, and his left-wing extreme rival, Jean-Luc Melenchon, have increased their advantage over the other potential candidates for the presidency, and would end up facing the decisive tour of the French elections next year in all the scenarios tested, according to a poll given to the public on Monday, which highlights [...] Article Le Pen and Mélenchon, favors for the two tour of the French presidential: Wh…

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La Dépêche du Midi broke the news on Monday, October 12, 2026.
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