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Democrats are again angling for Rep. Mike Lawler's House seat. Can he hold on in liberal New York?

Democrats are betting suburban anxiety, affordability concerns and opposition to Zohran Mamdani will help them flip a seat with far more Democrats than Republicans.

  • U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler faces a challenging reelection in New York's Hudson Valley battleground district, aiming to retain his seat against Democratic challenger Cait Conley.
  • Balancing his political alignment, Lawler told The Associated Press he is willing to support President Donald Trump while pushing back when disagreeing, seeking to maintain a moderate voice in Washington.
  • Democrat Cait Conley, a former National Security Council official, distances herself from progressive positions while arguing voters are primarily concerned with "the corruption and greed" coming from the Trump administration.
  • Lawler recently faced controversy over a social media post featuring a past costume, while voters like 70-year-old Frank Zambrano in Rockland County express frustration seeking middle-ground representation.
  • With the district containing more registered Democrats than Republicans, Lawler remains one of the nation's most vulnerable incumbents, stating, "Everybody who thinks they know what's going to happen in November I think is fooling themselves.
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Associated Press NewsAssociated Press News
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Democrats are again angling for Rep. Mike Lawler's House seat. Can he hold on in liberal New York?

U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler is considered one of the nation’s most vulnerable Republicans in this year’s midterm elections. It was the same story in his last election, too.

·New York, United States
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  • 38% of the sources are Center
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Associated Press News broke the news in New York, United States on Tuesday, September 1, 2026.
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