Fed Doves Lift December Cut Odds as Japan Faces Bond Market Stress

Fed doves lift December cut odds as Japan faces bond market stress

Investors began the week still trying to work out whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December. New York Fed President John Williams fuelled that debate when he reminded markets that another move remains possible and underlined that the labour market is cooling. Fed messaging stays ambiguous Williams said he "does not see any signs of tariffs contributing to second-round or other spillover effects on inflation" and that "downside risks…

December Rate Cut? What the Options Market Is Signaling

Using Options to Evaluate Rate-Sensitive Names With last week bringing realized volatility to the highest levels seen in 6 months, the market has entered a highly reactive state. Market events and data releases each have the potential to change the outlook for direction and volatility—and the December 10 FOMC remains the biggest date on the […] The post December Rate Cut? What the Options Market Is Signaling appeared first on SpotGamma™.

Odds of a December Rate Cut in U.S. Jump to Over 80%

Market odds for the U.S. Federal Reserve implementing an interest rate cut at its December 9-10, 2025, FOMC meeting have indeed risen sharply in recent days, surpassing 80% for at least a 25 basis point (bps) reduction. This shift reflects evolving comments from key Fed officials, mixed economic data amid a government shutdown delaying key […] The post Odds of a December Rate Cut in U.S. Jump to Over 80% appeared first on Tekedia.