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Nine Days From the Vote, neither Brazilian Front-Runner Comes Close to 50%

Summary by Merco Press
Neither of Brazil's two leading presidential candidates is approaching the threshold needed to win outright on October 4, according to the latest Datafolha poll, which puts President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on 40% of voting intentions and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on 36%.

16 Articles

Lean Right

Datasheet, 1st round: Lula has 40% against 36% of Flávio Bolsonaro Research Datasheet released on Thursday (24) shows that Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) are the most rejected presidential candidates, both with the same index: 45% say they would not vote in the president in any way and 45% say they would not vote in the senator. In the previous poll, released on September 17, there was also tie, with 47% rejection for each. The other candid…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Lean Left

Cury (5%), Caiado (4%) and Renan (3%) continue below, making leaders preach helpful vote in their favor

·São Paulo, Brazil
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10 days after the election, the Datafolha institute released on Thursday (24) another survey of voting intentions in the presidential race of 2026. Lula is leading the first-round scenario with 40% of voting intentions, against 36% of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). In the second round, the president also leads with 47% followed by [...] The post Datafolha: Lula wins Flávio by 40% to 36% in the first round and also leads in the second first appearance in…

Research released this Thursday (24) shows the president in front and records a technical tie in a possible second round: 47% to 45%

New round of research Datafolha released on Thursday (24), contracted by TV Globo and by the newspaper Folha de S.Paulo, shows the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in the leadership...

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Bias Distribution

  • 67% of the sources lean Left
67% Left

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UOL broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Thursday, September 24, 2026.
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