Tight Runoff Race: Lula vs. Bolsonaro in Brazil
- On Thursday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in a statistical tie for next month's simulated runoff, with the challenger holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error.
- AtlasIntel surveyed 5,018 people between September 11 and 16 to gauge voter sentiment ahead of the October 4 election. If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes, the two frontrunners advance to an October 25 runoff.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 44.1% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro with 41.7%. Candidates Renan Santos and Augusto Cury trail with 5.1% and 3.5%, respectively, illustrating the competitive landscape.
- Should the election reach a second round, the eldest son of President Jair Bolsonaro would receive 47.2% of voter support compared with 46.8% for the incumbent. The 1 percentage point margin of error indicates a highly competitive race.
- The narrowing gap contrasts with a previous poll showing Lula at 43% and Bolsonaro at 37.4% in the first round. This shift underscores the uncertainty and volatility in voter sentiment as the election date approaches.
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President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) has 46% of the voting intentions before 44% of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in second-round scenario, according to research Datafolha released on Thursday (17). The scenario is stability in relation to last week's previous survey. In the first round, Lula kept 39% and Flavio oscillated a point up and is at 36%. The Datafolha interviewed in person 2.002 voters between Tuesday (15) and Thursday (17). The m…
According to the latest poll by AtlasIntel, both candidates hold less than a point of distance, although the conservative senator slightly extended his advantage
Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula tied in runoff scenario, Atlas poll shows
SAO PAULO, Sept 17 - Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Thursday, with the right-wing challenger holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error. Read more at straitstimes.com.
Tight Runoff Race: Lula vs. Bolsonaro in Brazil
A recent AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll reveals a close contest between Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead of next month's election. The poll indicates they are statistically tied, with Bolsonaro holding a slight lead that's within the margin of error.
Jair Bolsonaro's son won four points in a week
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Bias Distribution
- 38% of the sources are Center, 37% of the sources lean Right
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