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Still a Chance of a Weak Tropical Cyclone in the Gulf Late Week

GULF COAST REGION OF THE UNITED STATES, JUL 22 – The low-pressure system is expected to bring 1 to 3 inches of rain along the Gulf Coast, with a 10% chance of tropical development, posing flood risks despite limited storm formation likelihood.

  • Forecast models show a weak tropical disturbance in the northern Gulf of Mexico, while the system could bring heavy rain to Gulf Coast through the weekend per the National Hurricane Center, affecting southeast Texas and Houston, Texas.
  • A trough of low pressure is tracking over warm Gulf waters, according to the National Hurricane Center, while similarities to last week's disturbance prompt increased attention from meteorologists.
  • The National Hurricane Center's 10% formation chance highlights low development odds, while rain totals of 1 to 3 inches suggest manageable coastal flooding.
  • Residents should monitor updates from the National Weather Service in Houston and the National Hurricane Center, while drivers should plan for slippery roads and reduced visibility during peak evening hours Friday and Saturday.
  • Across the central U.S., the FOX Forecast Center warns `life-threatening heat dome intensifies`, forecasting `heat index values over 110 degrees this weekend`.
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hbl.fi broke the news in on Tuesday, July 22, 2025.
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