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Consumer sentiment falls in May as Americans’ inflation expectations jump after tariffs

  • In May 2025, Americans’ confidence in the economy declined for the fifth month in a row, with the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index slipping to 50.8—its lowest mark since June 2022.
  • The drop in sentiment followed rising concerns triggered by the Trump administration’s high import tariffs, which have threatened economic growth and increased prices.
  • Consumers increasingly expect inflation to rise sharply, with one-year inflation expectations jumping to 7.3%, the highest since 1981, and five-year expectations reaching 4.6%, the highest since 1991.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called the Michigan inflation expectation numbers an outlier but noted that rising inflation worries could cause workers to demand higher wages, potentially pushing prices up further.
  • The tariff-related inflation fears and low consumer sentiment suggest persistent economic uncertainty, despite a recent U.S.-China deal to reduce tariffs and some early signs of minor improvements in survey measures.
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The Business Journals broke the news in United States on Thursday, May 15, 2025.
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