Texas Redistricting Fight Shakes up Battle Lines for Both Parties in Key US Senate Race
An internal poll shows Colin Allred leading Ken Paxton by 2 points among 800 likely voters, highlighting a competitive Texas Senate race ahead of the March 2026 primary.
- An internal poll from Colin Allred's campaign showed Allred leading Ken Paxton by 2 percentage points, based on GBAO's survey of 800 likely voters from August 13-18 and a ±3.5 percentage-point margin of error.
- Amid the redistricting rush, Texas Republicans pushing redistricting have roiled the 2026 Senate campaign, energizing Texas Democrats and prompting Colin Allred to hold town halls on the redistricting plan led by President Donald Trump.
- Independent surveys show mixed results: Emerson College Polling has Paxton leading Allred by 5 points, TSU shows Paxton ahead of Cornyn 44% to 39%, and Allred tops Joaquin Castro 52% to 42%.
- With Republicans holding a 53-47 Senate majority, Democrats must flip seats like Texas, but Republican groups say a Ken Paxton primary would raise costs by at least 100 million dollars.
- The primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026, with three Democrats as potential contenders, while Mark Jones said Allred's centrist appeal may hurt him among primary voters.
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