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Read the Full CNT/MDA Poll Showing Lula Leading in the Second Round.

Summary by CartaCapital
The PT candidate would win Flávio Bolsonaro, of the PL, by 47.3% to 40%

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The PT candidate would win Flávio Bolsonaro, of the PL, by 47.3% to 40%

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Research released on Tuesday (15) shows the petist with 40.5% of voting intentions in the first round, against 30.4% of the senator; difference falls to 7.3 points in eventual second round The president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leads all scenarios of first and second round for re-election in 2026, according to MDA [...]

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Research points to Lula with 40.5% in the first shift and Flávio Bolsonaro with 30.4%;

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Research CNT/MDA for presidential election 2026 released on Tuesday (15) points out President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 40.6% of intentions and votes and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ), son of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), with 30.4% in the first round. In the previous survey, of August 11, the president obtained 42.4% and [...]

Lula leads the contest for the Presidency of the Republic with 40.5% of the voting intentions, while Flávio Bolsonaro appears in second place, with 30.4%

CNT/MDA Poll for PRESIDENT August 5–9 > September 9–13 1st ROUND — STIMULATED Lula (PT): 40.5% (-1.9%) Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 30.4% (+1.7%) Augusto Cury (Avante): 6.0% (+4.8%) Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3.0% (-1.0%) Renan Santos (Missão): 2.7% (-0.1%) Romeu Zema (Novo): 1.0% (-2.3%) Other names/Others*: 2.9% (-0.5%) Blank/null: 6.0% (-0.8%) Undecided: 7.5% (+0.3%) The August poll did not include Pablo Marçal. 2ND ROUND - TOTAL VOTES Lula (PT): 47.3%…

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Bias Distribution

  • 100% of the sources lean Left
100% Left

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Metrópoles broke the news on Tuesday, September 15, 2026.
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