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CIA highlighted Cuba's grim economy but gave mixed view on government falling
The CIA reports Cuba faces severe economic challenges including 20-hour daily blackouts and loss of Venezuelan oil, but finds no definitive signs of government collapse.
- On Jan 10, U.S. intelligence reported a grim outlook on Cuba's economy but found no clear evidence supporting President Donald Trump's claim that `Cuba looks like it is ready to fall`.
- The CIA described strain in key sectors, noting agriculture and tourism face frequent blackouts, trade sanctions, and officials report blackouts outside Havana lasting 20 hours a day.
- Officials noted social indicators including a demographic collapse with many people under 50 migrating and a population likely falling from over 10 million in 2023 to less than 9 million, while Richard Feinberg warned hunger can drive survival or protests.
- Since last Saturday's arrest of Nicolás Maduro, the U.S. has pressed Delcy Rodríguez to redirect oil flows, risking Cuba's administration losing crucial Venezuelan oil imports and facing harder governance.
- Analysts observed that Miguel Díaz-Canel, President of Cuba, lacks the legitimacy of Fidel Castro, the White House, CIA and Cuban Ministry of Foreign Affairs declined comment, and some U.S. officials urged cutting Venezuelan oil to topple Havana's government.
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CIA highlighted Cuba's grim economy but gave mixed view on government falling
U.S. intelligence has painted a grim picture of Cuba’s economic and political situation, but its assessments offer no clear support for President Donald Trump’s prediction that last weekend’s military action in nearby Venezuela leaves the island nation “ready to fall,” said three people familiar with the confidential assessments.
·United Kingdom
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The U.S. intelligence between or a shadow frame of the situation is the small econ and because of Cuba's ethics, but its evaluation is n' they offer clear support before President Donald Trump's military leaves the island "probably to fall" next week. Read more (01/10/2026)
·São Paulo, Brazil
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Total News Sources8
Leaning Left0Leaning Right2Center2Last UpdatedBias Distribution50% Center, 50% Right
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources are Center, 50% of the sources lean Right
50% Right
C 50%
R 50%
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