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China’s retail sales disappoint as stimulus fails to spur demand; industrial output defies tariffs

  • China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that industrial production grew 6.1% year-on-year in April, exceeding forecasts but slowing from March.
  • The growth came after a 90-day tariff ceasefire with the US amid ongoing trade disputes, while weakened consumer demand at home continues to pose a risk to achieving the 5% growth target.
  • Retail sales rose 5.1% year-on-year in April, falling short of the 5.8% forecast and marking a slowdown from March’s 5.9%, while property prices contracted in most cities.
  • Zhiwei Zhang of Pinpoint Asset Management highlighted that despite increased US tariffs, exports remained robust, and he expects the economy to maintain steady growth throughout the second quarter.
  • The data suggests that while export-driven industrial output remains strong, weak consumer demand and falling property prices pose challenges for China's economic recovery.
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YUAN TALKS broke the news in on Sunday, May 18, 2025.
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