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Canada’s population could surpass 57 million by 2075, StatCan projects

Statistics Canada projects a population range from 44 million to 76 million by 2075, influenced by low fertility, immigration policies, and a record decline in non-permanent residents.

  • On Dec 17, 2025, Statistics Canada released new population projections, showing Canada could reach 57.4 million under a medium-growth scenario by 2075.
  • Demographic trends such as low fertility and policy shifts drove projections incorporating historically low fertility rates and changes to immigration and temporary resident policies.
  • Canada's population fell by more than 75 thousand between July and October, driven by a drop of more than 176,000 non-permanent residents amid 339,303 permit expiries and 163,026 issuances.
  • Ontario and Quebec would continue to be the most populous provinces while Alberta is projected to outstrip British Columbia in most scenarios, and Conservative MP Pierre Poilievre said `Canada needs 'more people leaving than coming,'` amid debates as Manitoba and Saskatchewan gain population share.
  • The agency noted its estimates are scenarios rather than forecasts, with the high-growth scenario down from last year's nearly 81 million projection, Statistics Canada emphasised these are scenario-based projections, not predictions.
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Canada, which currently has 41.7 million people, could reach up to 75 million individuals in 50 years, according to Statistics Canada.

·Montreal, Canada
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Statistics Canada released its latest population projections on Tuesday (January 27), outlining the trend of Canada's population growth over the next half-century.

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Radio-Canada broke the news in Montreal, Canada on Tuesday, January 27, 2026.
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